Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 312.151539 354.531760 401.995060 459.362640 527.183654 605.251286 702.552098
2025-02-02 260.890056 319.122252 390.708041 486.371123 612.681382 776.371539 1008.948705
2025-02-09 223.991804 287.170509 369.637325 487.443389 655.258343 891.901734 1262.549256
2025-02-16 193.975735 257.552279 344.374799 474.944677 672.427348 970.654381 1477.536524
2025-02-23 172.154434 235.295234 324.835694 465.500613 689.584834 1049.167123 1707.631396
2025-03-02 160.339764 225.264183 320.721316 477.192217 739.620266 1187.453352 2073.753111
2025-03-09 147.744078 212.386831 310.357654 476.871468 768.880075 1295.057129 2412.549497
2025-03-16 135.029225 197.862190 295.547607 466.768077 778.807724 1368.600419 2703.325200
2025-03-23 126.409607 188.768040 288.200209 467.957055 808.641659 1485.247263 3123.099669
2025-03-30 116.807587 177.167186 275.449641 457.785282 815.018282 1555.370064 3457.048548
2025-04-06 109.811264 169.171078 267.882728 455.887581 836.997130 1662.707424 3922.045940
2025-04-13 100.331969 156.271664 250.690501 433.915453 814.558549 1666.416200 4109.545083
2025-04-20 97.969537 155.398784 254.770986 453.786002 884.889716 1905.343121 5086.395800
2025-04-27 96.580844 156.091264 261.743267 480.427419 975.637080 2221.255448 6483.322399
2025-05-04 91.891456 150.530206 256.590014 481.482031 1007.801547 2393.883467 7493.313328
2025-05-11 86.001348 142.353331 245.754123 469.171244 1005.773207 2471.718830 8194.401656
2025-05-18 81.006584 135.458181 236.795261 459.868374 1009.699417 2568.551980 9038.434622
2025-05-25 78.756738 133.475905 237.235388 471.385083 1069.020788 2851.654553 10915.375287
2025-06-01 75.420042 129.199223 232.719379 471.069145 1097.040488 3044.647494 12527.180558
2025-06-08 71.383340 123.317190 224.473744 461.116927 1096.946273 3143.970229 13737.439397
2025-06-15 68.724794 119.924339 221.073963 462.288154 1128.648430 3366.286190 15874.178545
2025-06-22 65.232426 114.682878 213.413109 452.267900 1126.095366 3462.930790 17338.825939
2025-06-29 62.705951 111.201762 209.224173 450.398381 1147.841469 3661.653533 19734.701492